Prediction - OpenSocial API Beats Facebook
On Oct, 27, 2007, I predicted that Facebook's rapid growth would peak before Summer, 2008. In reality, Facebook's rate of growth topped out less than two months later.
To date, I haven't seen Facebook convert its tactical advantage of a developer community into a strategic advantage that can win against Google. Based on how rapidly their growth peaked, and lack of strategic action on Facebook's part, I predict that Google's OpenSocial API will be the final winner and that Facebook's fortunes will soon start to fade.



