TheHousingBubbleBlog Meme & Analysis

S-curve Methodology
Three-source Sampling Theory

I worked Casey Serin over so I thought I'd search the opposite case for differences; perhaps for a psychological indicator of where we are in the housing market crash cycle.

Declining traffic for TheHousingBubbleBlog.com implies that the public is getting bored with housing crash details (or entering a new state of denial). Blogpulse.com confirms the trend -

But Google Trends shows there's still strong interest in a "housing bubble".

So I dreamed up the brilliant idea of comparing "housing bubble" queries against "housing crash" queries.
In theory, they should be a matched set, right?
For every bubble, there's a crash.
But human psychology is in play here -

A period of denial seems to take place in the second half of 2005, just prior to crash. For comparison, I ran Dejanews.com graphs on "housing bubble" versus "housing crash" and these bandwidths have better synchronicity -

This entry is already too complicated.
I'll make a second entry with additional graphs but my best guess is that -

• IAmFacingForeclosure.com and TheHousingBubbleBlog.com have peaked in traffic


• Crash expectations peaked several months (perhaps even a year) prior to the crash itself


• There is a state of denial about the housing crash, even though it's tenatively acknowledged


• The still-strong searchs for "housing crash" indicates the crash hasn't bottomed yet