S-curve Methodology
Three-source Sampling Theory
I avoid memegraphs on open source products because their strange behavior is hard to interpret. However, I got curious about Red Hat Linux today so I ran graphs on Windows Vista versus Linux.
Caution: these graphs imply ominous outcomes for Linux.
My interpretation? In the United States, Linux is being marginalized as a specialty niche server. I didn't include the worldwide graphs, but Linux appears to have only a slightly better future. Predictably, Vista is ramping up and gaining mindshare and buzz.
The Linux curves seem clear.
These types of curves are indicative of a product which has topped out.
All three data sources show the same general results, although they sample from different Internet sources.





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