Blog, RSS, Social Networking Meme Update
Another prediction validated (The Methodology)
At Defcon 13, I predicted the "blog meme" would peak by January, 2006. This updated memegraph for "blog" shows a peak in January, 2006. But it's still a tenative confirmation which probably needs another two months of data. The "blog", "rss", "myspace" and "social networking" memes are loosely coupled, but they point to the same conclusion, that the social networking space has hit its peak growth rate. A shakeout and consolidation phase should begin, probably within a year.
The updated RSS graph also confirms the trend change -
Updated MySpace graph supports the prediction.
Mindshare, i.e. demand is finite, but the supply of social networking sites is increasing. I suspect Technorati, LiveJournal, MySpace and others already have decelerating growth rates, but I doubt that they'll admit it publicly. We're probably already in the early stages of a shakeout in this market space.
( May 22 2006, 12:55:59 PM EDT ) Permalink Comments [3]
Posted by Student Loan Consolidation Program on February 05, 2007 at 08:11 AM EST
Website: http://consolidate.student.loan.googlepages.com/student-loan-consolidation.html #
Posted by Student Loan Consolidation Program on February 05, 2007 at 08:11 AM EST
Website: http://consolidate.student.loan.googlepages.com/student-loan-consolidation.html #
Posted by credit card debt consolidation on February 20, 2007 at 09:02 AM EST
Website: http://del.icio.us/credit_card_debt #